Monitoring 2025

2025 prediction scorecard v0

Because I am nothing if not accountable.

Jan 13 •

Patrick O'Hearn

Ten Black Swan possibilities for 2025

These almost certainly will not come to pass, but who knows. If they did, they would be big.

Jan 11 •

Patrick O'Hearn

A grab bag of over/unders to preview 2025

M&A activity, FX rates, tariffs, EVs and border encounters.

Jan 8 •

Patrick O'Hearn

Some political stories to keep an eye on in early 2025

Change in Canada, Defiance in France, Uncertainty in Germany, Elon Musk and possible January 6th pardons...just some of the things to look out for in…

Jan 7 •

Patrick O'Hearn

What might happen, geopolitically, in 2025?

Previewing the next twelve months from a geopolitical perspective.

Jan 4 •

Patrick O'Hearn

Let's make some more predictions!

Another US-centric list, this time with two longer responses, a more rapid-fire section, and a couple light-hearted predictions to end it.

Jan 2 •

Patrick O'Hearn

Let's make some predictions, US edition.

A TikTok ban, Trump's cabinet, Musk/Trump, DOGE and a possible government shutdown? Fun times ahead!

Dec 31, 2024 •

Patrick O'Hearn

Just the numbers - Dec 2024

With a few important reminders tacked on at the end.

Dec 29, 2024 •

Patrick O'Hearn

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts